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DyeStatCAL 2013 XC Rankings

#1 14 August 2013 02:42 PM
Scott Joerger 
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9/10/2013

     DyeStatCAL's weekly rankings will be released on Wednesdays, starting 9/11. Look for a Weekly Top 25 overall and a weekly Top 10 by Division.  

 

Week Week ended Release Date DyeStatCAL
Weekly
Top 25
DyeStatCAL
 Weekly
Top 10 by Div.
Week 1 9/7 9/11        Release
       Release
Week 2 9/14 9/18        Release        Release
Week 3 9/21 9/25        Release        Release
Week 4 9/28 10/2        Release        Release
Week 5 10/5 10/9        Release
       Release
Week 6 10/12 10/16        Release        Release
Week 7 10/19 10/23        Release        Release
Week 8 10/26 10/30        Release        Release
Week 9 11/2 11/6        Release        Release
Week 10 11/9 11/13        Release        Release
Week 11 11/16 11/20            n/a            n/a
Week 12 11/23 11/25             n/a         Release
Final Results State Champs
   

 

8/14/2013

     We've spent much of the summer digging through cross country and track results to identify the top cross country teams for the coming season based on performances. There are certainly quality teams outside the top 50, but we felt that 50 was the level we could do with some degree of confidence.  Please remember that these are "Performance Rankings" based on marks achieved within the past year, rather than predictions of where teams will be in November. This is just where we see each team at as a starting point based on previous races. Actual races results are what matters!

     One thing is certain - California is deeper than ever!  Starting August 15th, we will begin to release our pre-season rankings per the schedule below and won't let up until it's done! 

     Comments, questions and feedback are welcome!  

 

DyeStatCAL Pre-Season Top 50 Countdown
Date Release   Date Release  
8/15 Girls  41 to 50   8/16 Boys  43 to 52  
8/17 Girls  31 to 40   8/18 Boys  33 to 42  
8/19 Girls  21 to 30   8/20 Boys  22 to 32  
8/21 Girls  11 to 20   8/22 Boys  11 to 21  
8/23 Girls  6 to 10   8/24 Boys  6 to 10  
8/25 Girls  1 to 5   8/26 Boys  1 to 5  
8/27 Girls by Div.   8/28 Boys by Div.  
8/27 Grls Recap   8/28 Boys Recap  

 

DyeStat Pre-Season XC National Rankings
  Girls     Boys  

Teams  1 - 120  
Teams 1 - 120
 

Individuals  
Individuals
 

2

#2 15 August 2013 06:05 AM
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DyeStatCAL Pre-Season Top 50 Countdown. Girls Teams 41-50 are posted. Check them out!
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#3 16 August 2013 06:55 AM
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DyeStatCAL's Pre-Season Top 50 Countdown continues with Boys Teams 41-50. All five divisions are represented - see who's listed!
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#4 17 August 2013 06:06 AM
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We continue counting down the top 50 XC teams with Girls 31-40. See who's listed today!
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#5 18 August 2013 05:20 AM
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The next installment of our Top 50 Countdown is for Boys Teams 31-40.
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#6 19 August 2013 06:09 AM
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The CA XC Top 50 countdown continues. Girls Teams 21 to 30 are now posted.
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#7 19 August 2013 02:14 PM
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Unfortunately I found an error on the boys list which will require me to slot in a team in the mid-20's (better late than never). That will push everyone already listed back one spot. Look for Boys Teams 21-31 tomorrow.
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#8 19 August 2013 07:58 PM
PRC por Vida 
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Scott: Thank you for taking the time to really look at all the programs representing California.
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#9 20 August 2013 06:56 AM
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DyeStatCAL Top 50 Countdown - Boys Teams 21 to 31 are released. Are you on the list?
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#10 20 August 2013 06:56 AM
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View PostPRC por Vida, on 19 August 2013 07:58 PM, said:

Scott: Thank you for taking the time to really look at all the programs representing California.


Thanks, that's much appreciated!
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#11 20 August 2013 09:20 AM
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I just found out Lucas Matison has transferred from Carlmont to Palo Alto, which would drop Carlmont's ranking, but this is a snapshot of what I knew when I did the math. It will be trued up when we get to in-season rankings!
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#12 21 August 2013 06:25 AM
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We're gettin' down there now! Girls Teams 11-20 are posted!
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#13 21 August 2013 01:56 PM
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This is great! After looking through teams 50-11 on the girls side, I am shocked at how similar they look. Any one of these teams could easily place top 10 in a power merge at state. Wow CA is really really deep on the girls side!
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#14 21 August 2013 07:10 PM
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Can't wait for the rest of the rankings and for the season to start.
Cross Country Express
www.crosscountryexpress.com
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#15 22 August 2013 06:53 AM
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Boys 11 - 20 Rankings are now posted! Only top 10 on each side to go!
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#16 22 August 2013 07:04 AM
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View PostMatthewXCountry, on 21 August 2013 01:56 PM, said:

This is great! After looking through teams 50-11 on the girls side, I am shocked at how similar they look. Any one of these teams could easily place top 10 in a power merge at state. Wow CA is really really deep on the girls side!



Thanks Matthew! And yes that's the challenge, when you are looking at teams above the top 10 or 20 you are basically looking "in the pack". Often what differentiates a team is the strongest 5th runner, and it's not always easy to predict who that is (and I'm sure we're often wrong). Our rankings are mathmatical, inputting the top 1600, 3200, State, Sectional, and top invitational (Mt. Sac, Stanford, and Clovis) marks into a model and setting them on a level playing field. So the rankings are objective in that way, though you could easily argue the creation of the model has some subjectivity! One more good mark, one missed PR and that ranking can move 5 to 10 places.

And that's why pre-season rankings especially should be taken with a grain of salt. I hope it gives people a general idea of where they are at as a starting point, but no doubt they will change a lot in a month!

We are working out the details of on-going rankings during the season, but it will probably be bi-weekly including divisional and overall state rankings. Stay tuned.
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#17 22 August 2013 07:19 PM
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I'm afraid I had to do another re-ranking, as Rancho Buena Vista got deleted from my data (who could have done that?) Sorry for the rookie mistakes, but all is fixed now. Look for girls 6-10 tomorrow!
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#18 23 August 2013 06:42 AM
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DyeStatCAL Top 50 Countdown - We're into the big guns now! Girls 6-10 Teams are Posted!
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#19 24 August 2013 06:00 AM
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Boys teams 6 to 10 are now posted. What do you think - would you rank them this way? Who can name the top 5 Boys and Girls teams?
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#20 24 August 2013 11:38 AM
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I have 4 for both boys and girls. Might have to dig a little deeper to find the missing team on both sides.

Thanks for all the hard work with the rankings Scott. I like that I can get something new each day.
Cross Country Express
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