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National Individual Rankings - 9/26 Girls - XC - Dyestat

Published by
DyeStat   on Sep 26 2013, 08:52 AM

NATIONAL XC TEAMS REGIONAL XC TEAMS NATIONAL XC INDIVIDUALS

 

DyeStat Individual Rankings - The Top 30 Girls

2013 Release Dates: Preseason - Sept 26 - Oct 10 - Oct 24 - Nov 7 - Nov 21
 - Dec 5 - Dec 19
by Doug Binder, Dyestat Editor

Note: This is our first set of in-season individual rankings. I took out athletes known to be injured and I took out Mary Cain, who is not currently involved in the cross country season. This list represents a snapshot of the top athletes who are actively part of the high school season. 


Top 30 - September 26

1 – Sarah Baxter, sr, Simi Valley (California)

2 – Taylor Werner, soph, Ste. Genevieve (Missouri)

3 – Elise Cranny, sr, Niwot (Colorado

4 Anna Maxwell, sr, San Lorenzo Valley (California)

5 Alexa Efraimson, jr, Camas (Washington)

6 Katie Rainsberger, soph, Air Academy (Colorado)

7 Ella Donaghu, soph, Grant (Oregon)

8 Hannah Debalsi, soph, Staples (Connecticut)

9 Jordyn Colter, jr, Cherry Creek (Colorado)

10  Marissa Williams, jr, Palisades Charter (California)

11 Caroline Alcorta, sr, West Springfield (Virginia) 

12 Makena Morley, jr, Bigfork (Montana) 

13 Annie Heffernan, jr, St. Ursula Academy (Ohio)

14 Hannah Long, jr, Eureka (Missouri) 

15 Lucy Biles, jr, Herriman (Utah)

16 Tessa Barrett, sr, Abington Heights (Pennsylvania)

17 Abbey McNulty, sr, Bishop Feehan (Massachusetts)

18 Audrey Belf, jr, Seaholm (Michigan)

19 Allie Ostrander, jr, Kenai Central (Alaska)

20 Bella Burda, jr, Arlington (New York)

21 Samantha Ortega, junior, Saugus (California)

22 Sarah Feeny, senior, Ogden (Utah)  

23 McKenzie Yanek, soph, Pleasant Valley (Iowa) 

24 Destiny Collins – soph, Great Oak (California)

25 Mary Kate Vaughn, soph, Oakwood (Ohio) 

26 Amelia Paladino, sr, University (West Virginia) 

27 Fiona O'Keeffe, soph, Davis (California)  

28 Kennedy Jensen, sr, Canandaigua (New York)

29 Natalie Rathjen, sr, Highland Park (Texas) 

30 Jeralyn Poe, jr, North Star (Nebraska)

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36 comment(s)  
traedeer
Thetford has a new course, probably 40ish seconds faster than the old one. Although that course was pretty recent as well.
stb262
Being from VT and being a coach who has won 11 State championships and one NE championship I'm not sure what the hell you are taking about! The course is definitely slower and longer and not even close to the old course.
jreidel
Eastman won at Thetford Academy today on a tough course in 18:31 with Shannon Murdock of Exeter NH second in 19:34 if that helps shed any light on where Eastman stands in comparison to other NE runners mentioned by DougB, although I'm not sure it does. I think the last time New England Championships were run at Thetford was in 2010 when Linds Crevoiserat, of Glastonbury CT won in 19:11. Erin Sullivan ran 17:25 at NE's at Thetford, making Eastman more on par with Tara Chaplin (9th at Footlocker and 18:30-range at Thetford), than Sullivan.
DougB
Berkson is in NC for the Great American Festival Saturday... I'm interested to see how that goes for her.
Smythington
http://www.greenwich...ast-4861133.php

DeBalsi just ran a fast CR but the story got the distance wrong (not 3.1)?

Debalsi, McNulty, Howlett, Eastman, Shehadeh*, Berkson, Gompers.*

In NE I'd like: Debalsi, McNulty, Howlett, Eastman, Shehadeh*, Berkson, Gompers*, with Hotchkiss's Samantha Glass* an X-factor. Berkson has the
strongest track times but never has been serious about CC until now. Howlett,Eastman, Debalsi, Berkson will likely meet 11/9 in NH for the NE title.
DougB
I would certainly be interested to know how observers in New England would rank the following girls:

Abbey McNulty
Claire Howlett
Hannah Debalsi
Autumn Eastman
Maddy Berkson
Anoush Shehadeh
Annika Gompers
Smythington
"I'm basing Eastman's prowess"
-----------------------------
There are a trio of runners from Ct that will be very hard to handle for a New England title. Something for Eastman to shoot for weeks before FL.
Chris Nickinson

jreidel, on , said:

Hi Chris. That's a legitimate point for sure and since very few runners have ever won two national titles -- assuming that's the measurement -- it's a tall order to measure up to. I weigh time much more heavily because each year there are different levels of competition, so a national champion one year could be 45 seconds slower than the previous due to a slower field. That said, I'm basing Eastman's prowess on her times on similar courses run by Sullivan and Chaplin, who placed top 10 one year at Footlocker. No doubt you are right that a national title would elevate her status big time. One thing I am confident about: Eastman worthiness as a member of the DyeStat top 30.


Great points and analysis on the comparisons; I also agree that she's worthy of a top 30 ranking.
jreidel
Hi Chris. That's a legitimate point for sure and since very few runners have ever won two national titles -- assuming that's the measurement -- it's a tall order to measure up to. I weigh time much more heavily because each year there are different levels of competition, so a national champion one year could be 45 seconds slower than the previous due to a slower field. That said, I'm basing Eastman's prowess on her times on similar courses run by Sullivan and Chaplin, who placed top 10 one year at Footlocker. No doubt you are right that a national title would elevate her status big time. One thing I am confident about: Eastman worthiness as a member of the DyeStat top 30.
DougB
Wow. Yes, that's a great result. She'll be in it the round for sure.
Scott Joerger

DougB, on , said:

.. But the FOURTH place finisher in that race, Bethan Knights, was probably one of the last two that I left out. .....


Bethan Knights had an impressive win over Marissa Williams at Bell-Jeff on Saturday, covering a hilly 3 mile course in 16:42. http://parser.dyesta...45#.Ukm6v9JJPnE

That's her second win in as many weeks - may be her time to get onto that list.
Chris Nickinson

jreidel, on , said:

Champlain Valley Union (VT) runner Autumn Eastman's blistering 17:40 5k win by about a minute at the Manchester Invitational (NH) makes her a lock as a national top 25 runner and puts her in the conversation with former two-time national Footlocker champion Erin Sullivan, NCAA cross country champion Tara Chaplin and Olympian Judi St. Hilaire as the greatest high school runner in Vermont history.


Wouldn't you say that she'd need to win at least 1 national title (probably at NXN these days) before you can compare her to Sullivan? Times in XC are great but they don't mean much without titles.
jreidel
Champlain Valley Union (VT) runner Autumn Eastman's blistering 17:40 5k win by about a minute at the Manchester Invitational (NH) makes her a lock as a national top 25 runner and puts her in the conversation with former two-time national Footlocker champion Erin Sullivan, NCAA cross country champion Tara Chaplin and Olympian Judi St. Hilaire as the greatest high school runner in Vermont history.
GrandmaFaye
Sarah is doing great
dkap

DougB, on , said:

Trust me, I welcome all of the feedback. And perhaps I should have included some honorable mentions at the end of that list because trimming out the last 6-7 athletes was almost impossible.

I also was fairly certain I would hear about the Mary Cain thing. But I see the in-season rankings as recognition for recent achievements (in most cases) and I can't keep place-holders in it all season. So no worries, Dan. Keep holding my feet to the fire!


I fully appreciate the difficulty of making and assembling those lists and figured you'd catch the tongue-in-cheek nature of my initial comments (as it sounds like you did) ... sorry to anyone who the humor was lost on!

Dan
DougB
Trust me, I welcome all of the feedback. And perhaps I should have included some honorable mentions at the end of that list because trimming out the last 6-7 athletes was almost impossible.

I also was fairly certain I would hear about the Mary Cain thing. But I see the in-season rankings as recognition for recent achievements (in most cases) and I can't keep place-holders in it all season. So no worries, Dan. Keep holding my feet to the fire!

Coach Roy ... I know your heart is in the right place about Sydney Badger. But the FOURTH place finisher in that race, Bethan Knights, was probably one of the last two that I left out. She's probably 31 or 32. Tenth place in that race, great as it was, just isn't good enough. I can promise you that Sydney hasn't beaten anyone on that list this year.
dkap

watchout, on , said:

I'd say it's SIGNIFICANTLY different than the scenario for the pre-season rankings. In the pre-season it's all about the potential for what could be. In-season rankings have to factor in the actual results of this season.


The explanation of the scenario, not the scenario itself, sorry.

Dan
Joe Lanzalotto

DougB, on , said:

I have seen one result for Josette. It was a win and she ran about 18:50, which I took to be a conservative effort. That's fine. It wasn't easy to shoe-horn all of the deserving girls (or boys) into 30 slots. I suspect that when we see Josette run hard some place, she will find her way back into the Top 30. There are a few other examples like that. Two weeks from now it will be different.


That was me reacting to your assertion that the rankings are a prediction of how the season is going to end. Right now, based on her XC results alone, I don't know that you would rank Josette in the top 30. However, given her 4:41 1600 and what that indicates about how far she has come as a runner, I would bet top 30 for her this fall.

But then I would say the say thing about Grace Dwyer! :)
watchout

dkap, on , said:

Hmm, that's no different than the scenario for the pre-season rankings... Too many people objected to leaving her in? :)

Dan


I'd say it's SIGNIFICANTLY different than the scenario for the pre-season rankings. In the pre-season it's all about the potential for what could be. In-season rankings have to factor in the actual results of this season.
CoachRoy
Not sure how the rankings are decided but Sydney Badger out of Nevada was top 10 at Woodbridge and has finished ahead of some of the top 30 girls.
dkap

Chris Nickinson, on , said:

Why does it bother you that Mary's no longer in the rankings?


It doesn't in the least. What have I said to suggest such? I was just poking fun at Doug and you objected to that for some reason.

Dan
DougB
I have seen one result for Josette. It was a win and she ran about 18:50, which I took to be a conservative effort. That's fine. It wasn't easy to shoe-horn all of the deserving girls (or boys) into 30 slots. I suspect that when we see Josette run hard some place, she will find her way back into the Top 30. There are a few other examples like that. Two weeks from now it will be different.
Chris Nickinson

Joe Lanzalotto, on , said:

If that's the case, count Josette Norris as a glaring omission.


Oof, ya, good catch, Joe.
Joe Lanzalotto

DougB, on , said:

Hmmmmm... maybe a better way to put it is ... the Preseason rankings were a guess of how the season was going to end up. Today's rankings reflect what the season looks like right now, with a few tweaks :)


If that's the case, count Josette Norris as a glaring omission.
David Taylor @XCnation
True, its hard to gage what the individual is doing in "secret training" hours of the offseason. Everyone is surprised every year by the persistent workers of this sport.
DougB
Hmmmmm... maybe a better way to put it is ... the Preseason rankings were a guess of how the season was going to end up. Today's rankings reflect what the season looks like right now, with a few tweaks :)
Chris Nickinson

dkap, on , said:

Well sure, if you're going to go with a subsequent explanation instead of the original one... Thank you for defining revisionist. :)

Dan


Why does it bother you that Mary's no longer in the rankings?
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